3.2 Formal Safety Assessment Process

  1. The IMO FSA process (IMO, 2018) as approved by the IMO in 2018 under Maritime Safety Committee – Marine Environment Protection Committee (MEPC).2/circ. 12/Rev.2 will be applied to the risk assessment within this NRA, and informs volume 2, chapter 13.
  2. The FSA process is a structured and systematic methodology based upon risk analysis and Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) (if applicable) to reduce hazards to As Low As Reasonably Practicable (ALARP). There are five basic steps within this process as illustrated by Figure 3.1 and summarised in the following list:
  • Step 1 – Identification of hazards (a list is produced of hazards prioritised by risk level specific to the problem under review).
  • Step 2 – Risk assessment (investigation of the causes and initiating events and risks of the more important hazards identified in step 1).
  • Step 3 – Risk control options (identification of measures to control and reduce the identified risks).
  • Step 4 – CBA (identification and comparison of the benefits and costs associated with the risk control options identified in step 3).
  • Step 5 – Recommendations for decision-making (defining of recommendations based upon the outputs of steps 1 to 4).

A diagram of steps to risk control

Description automatically generated

Figure 3.1: Flow Chart of the FSA Methodology

 

  1. It is noted that hazards of a commercial nature are considered outside the remit of the NRA but have been assessed using the FSA process in volume 2, chapter 13 where appropriate.

3.2.1 Hazard Workshop Methodology

  1. A key tool used in the NRA process is the Hazard Workshop which ensures that all hazards are identified, and the corresponding risks qualified in discussion with relevant consultees (for further details including attendance at the Hazard Workshop see Section 4.3). Table 3.1 and Table 3.2 define the severity of consequence and the frequency of occurrence rankings that have been used to assess risks within the Hazard Log, completed based on the outputs of the Hazard Workshop for the Array (held 31 August 2023). The use of severity of consequence and the frequency of occurrence is as per the IMO FSA process (IMO, 2018).

 

Table 3.1: Severity of Consequence Ranking Definitions

Rank

Description

Definition

People

Property

Environment

Business

1

Negligible

No perceptible impact

No perceptible impact

No perceptible impact

No perceptible impact

2

Minor

Slight injury(s)

Minor damage to property i.e. superficial damage

Tier 1 local assistance required

Minor reputational risks – limited to users

3

Moderate

Multiple minor or single serious injury

Damage not critical to operations

Tier 2 limited external assistance required

Local reputational risks

4

Serious

Multiple serious injuries or single fatality

Damage resulting in critical impact on operations

Tier 2 regional assistance required

National reputational risks

5

Major

More than one fatality

Total loss of property

Tier 3 national assistance required

International reputational risks

 

Table 3.2: Frequency of Occurrence Ranking Definitions

Rank

Description

Definition

1

Negligible

< 1 occurrence per 10,000 years

2

Extremely unlikely

1 per 100 to 10,000 years

3

Remote

1 per 10 to 100 years

4

Reasonably probable

1 per 1 to 10 years

5

Frequent

Yearly

 

  1. The severity of consequence and frequency of occurrence are then used to define the significance of risk via a tolerability matrix approach as shown in Table 3.3. The significance of risk is defined as Broadly Acceptable (low risk), Tolerable (intermediate risk) or Unacceptable (high risk).

 

Table 3.3: Tolerability Matrix and Risk Rankings

5

 

 

 

 

 

4

 

 

 

 

 

3

 

 

 

 

 

2

 

 

 

 

 

1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1

2

3

4

5

 

 

Frequency of Occurrence

 

 

Unacceptable (high risk)

 

Tolerable (intermediate risk)

 

Broadly Acceptable (low risk)

 

  1. Once identified, the significance of risk will be assessed to ensure it is ALARP. Further risk control measures may be required to further mitigate a hazard in accordance with the ALARP principles. Unacceptable risks are not considered to be ALARP.